Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Who Will Win Pick polygram.ink |
51% | 49% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Who Will Win → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
51% | 49% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Who Will Win → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Who Will Win → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Who Will Win → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Who Will Win → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win.
Active sub-markets
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-2.5) vs AM Gaming (+2.5) | 51% ex-RUBY | 50% AM Gaming |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-2.5) vs AM Gaming (+2.5) | 50% ex-RUBY | 50% AM Gaming |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-2.5) vs AM Gaming (+2.5) | 50% ex-RUBY | 50% AM Gaming |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% Over | 49% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 52% Over | 48% Under |
Market context
AM Gaming face ex-RUBY in a Round 16 best-of-three match within the CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs, scheduled for 4 June at 1:00 PM ET. The crowd has priced AM Gaming as slight favourites at 52 per cent implied probability, a narrow margin that suggests genuine uncertainty about the outcome.
Context for reading this probability hinges on both teams' recent form and their historical matchup record within CCT competition. AM Gaming has competed consistently in regional European tournaments but lacks the sustained top-tier results that would justify strong favourite status. ex-RUBY, despite roster changes and rebranding from previous iterations, retains institutional knowledge from prior CCT campaigns and has shown resilience in lower-bracket runs. Similar Round 16 encounters in CCT Europe have frequently gone to deciding maps, with the margin between these mid-tier teams typically narrow enough that map pool compatibility and day-of preparation often outweigh raw skill differentials.
Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute stand-in announcements in the 48 hours before the match, as both organisations have experienced player availability issues in prior tournaments. The CCT Europe Series 3 schedule has shown occasional delays, though matches have generally proceeded within the settlement window. Coaching changes or recent bootcamp activity could shift preparation quality, though such information rarely surfaces publicly before match day. The 52 per cent pricing leaves limited value on either side unless fresh intelligence emerges regarding player fitness or tactical preparation disparities.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Who Will Win — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Who Will Win is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win?
- Zero. Who Will Win routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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