Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Who Will Win Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Who Will Win → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Who Will Win → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Who Will Win → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Who Will Win → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Who Will Win → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 0% KOLESIE | 100% GenOne |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% KOLESIE | 0% GenOne |
| Match Winner | 0% KOLESIE | 100% GenOne |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) | 0% KOLESIE | 100% GenOne |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
KOLESIE and GenOne meet in the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive Group Stage of CCT Europe Series #4, a best-of-three fixture scheduled for 16 June 2025 at 13:00 ET. The 0% implied probability reflects either minimal trading activity or a strong consensus that KOLESIE are prohibitive favourites. CCT Europe tournaments typically draw competitive regional rosters, though roster stability and recent form variance across Tier-2 European squads can shift match outcomes substantially. GenOne's historical performance in CCT qualifiers and group stages provides the baseline for assessing whether the current odds undervalue their chances or whether KOLESIE's superiority is genuinely one-sided.
Recent CCT Europe tournaments have shown that seeding and group composition matter considerably; teams placed in favourable brackets against weaker opposition often advance regardless of absolute skill tier. If GenOne qualified through open qualifiers or carry roster changes into this event, their win probability should reflect that structural disadvantage. Conversely, if KOLESIE have suffered recent roster turnover, visa delays, or internal issues, the market's extreme confidence may be misplaced. Traders should monitor official CCT announcements regarding final rosters, any last-minute substitutions, and whether either team has competing commitments that week that might affect preparation.
The settlement window closes 17 June at 00:05 UTC, allowing a full day buffer for match completion. A seven-day delay clause protects against indefinite postponements, though CCT Europe fixtures rarely extend beyond their scheduled windows.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Who Will Win is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win?
- Zero. Who Will Win routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe… on Who Will Win
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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