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Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

46% YES 54% NO Volume: $290K Liquidity: $639K Closes: 4 Jun 2026
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Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Who Will Win Pick
polygram.ink
 46% 54% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Who Will Win →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 46% 54% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Who Will Win →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Who Will Win →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Who Will Win →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Who Will Win →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win.

Active sub-markets

Map 1 Winner46% YES54% NO
Map 2 Winner49% YES52% NO
Match Winner48% YES53% NO
O/U 2.5 Games48% YES53% NO
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)27% YES73% NO
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)51% YES49% NO

Market context

Market consensus: 46% chance of counter-strike: liquid vs heroic (bo3) - iem cologne major stage 1. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Liquid and Heroic in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 4 at 1:00PM ET. This market will re…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Who Will Win is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win?
Zero. Who Will Win routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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