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Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Live odds for "Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Match Winner 93% Map 2 Winner 89% Map 1 Winner 84% Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5) 71% Volume: $78K Liquidity: $200K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner93%
Map 2 Winner89%
Map 1 Winner84%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)71%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.566%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.565%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.565%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)48%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)45%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)40%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.539%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.537%
O/U 2.5 Games26%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier prediction market currently prices this outcome at 93% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 32 match between Spirit and OG in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 23 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if S…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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