Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Who Will Win Pick polygram.ink |
45% | 55% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Who Will Win → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
45% | 55% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Who Will Win → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Who Will Win → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Who Will Win → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Who Will Win → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 1? | 45% Power Rangers | 55% TEAM VISION |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 90% Over | 10% Under |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 100% Power Rangers | 0% TEAM VISION |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% Power Rangers | 100% TEAM VISION |
Market context
Power Rangers face TEAM VISION in the upper-bracket quarterfinal of The International 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier, a match initially set for 1:00 PM ET on 24 June. The crowd-implied probability sits at 84% YES for Power Rangers, yet live data from Kalshi shows TEAM VISION already leading 1–0 in the ongoing BO3, with their market share surging to 96% [2]. This divergence mirrors historical TI qualifier collapses where early favourites, buoyed by form, lost momentum after a single game slip, as seen in TI14’s Europe regional where Power Rangers themselves overturned a 0–1 deficit to win 2–1 [3]. The consensus remains anchored on pre-match reputation, but value may sit contrarian on TEAM VISION, whose in-game dominance now outweighs initial seeding.
Traders must monitor the live score progression and official tournament updates, as the match is already underway and the second game is in progress [1]. A critical dependency is the resolution window: if no winner is declared by 1:00 PM EDT on 8 July, the market resolves to 50–50 [2]. Recent Liquipedia records confirm Power Rangers’ roster stability, but TEAM VISION’s current 96% market confidence suggests a sharp shift in trader sentiment [7]. Watch for any delay announcements or stream interruptions, which could trigger the seven-day cancellation clause. The catalyst is not pre-match analysis but real-time game flow, where TEAM VISION’s 44-minute lead in game one indicates a structural advantage that pre-match odds failed to capture [2].
Methodology
We track Dota 2: Power Rangers vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Who Will Win is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win?
- Zero. Who Will Win routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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