Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Xtreme Gaming and Team Falcons meet today for a best-of-two series at 5:00 AM ET, with the crowd assigning a 0% YES probability to the “more markets” proposition. Historically, Team Falcons dominate this matchup, having won 7 of 11 total encounters (64%) and holding a 15–9 map advantage, while the last 12 months show Falcons winning 6 of 9 games [1]. Comparable high-stakes clashes, such as their TI 2025 Grand Final and BLAST Slam V highlights, repeatedly featured Falcons closing out extended games, suggesting the market’s near-zero pricing reflects a consensus that extra markets (e.g., overtime, third map, or specific prop triggers) are unlikely in a two-game format where Falcons’ efficiency often ends series early [2][6].

Traders should watch for pre-match roster announcements or patch-dependent hero restrictions that could alter map tempo, as DreamLeague Season 28 previously saw Xtreme Gaming struggle in map #1 against Falcons despite strong individual stats [10]. The settlement window closes at 15:10 UTC on 11 July 2026, so any delay in stream start or official match confirmation would directly impact resolution timing. Recent coverage from Tips.GG notes Falcons’ consistent map-score dominance and Xtreme Gaming’s 27% win rate, reinforcing the contrarian view that value lies only if the series unexpectedly extends beyond two games—a scenario unsupported by current head-to-head data [1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.