Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A

Platform comparison

Market context

Yellow Submarine’s best-of-three against Execration in Games of the Future Group A has been priced by the crowd at **100% Yes**, which implies a clean win for Yellow Submarine and leaves almost no room for the underdog in consensus terms. The market therefore reads as an extreme favourite spot, but that sort of certainty usually reflects either a perceived mismatch, stale information, or the market simply having not yet traded enough to discover a fairer line. Mainstream match listings place the fixture on 31 July at 05:00 UTC, although some calendar pages and betting feeds show a later local-time listing, so traders should be alert to schedule drift rather than treating one timestamp as definitive.[1][10][15][18]

Historically, this is the kind of Dota 2 market where the value question is less about picking a winner and more about whether the public has overreacted to team name recognition or early odds. Yellow Submarine were already listed as the likely winner on bookmaker-style pages, but not by a price that would normally justify a near-unanimous crowd view: one forecast source had Yellow Submarine around 1.70 and Execration around 2.05, which is competitive rather than dominant.[14] That contrast is useful for handicappers because a 100% crowd signal can be fragile if the underlying edge is only modest, and BO3 formats often narrow the gap compared with a single-map read.

The key catalysts are simple: confirm the match is actually played, check for official start-time updates, and watch whether either side arrives with roster or bracket changes. Tournament fixture pages and live match trackers all place the game within the Games of the Future Group A slate, but several sources disagree slightly on the exact start time, which matters because any cancellation, tie, or a delay beyond seven days would force this market to 50-50.[1][7][15][19] For a trader, the contrarian angle is that the consensus is already maxed out on Yellow Submarine, so any fresh sign of postponement, rescheduling, or lineup uncertainty is more relevant here than searching for a better favourite price.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.