LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

Market context

Anyone’s Legend faces Karmine Corp in the League of Legends Esports World Cup quarterfinals today, with the LPL squad heavily favoured over the LEC entrant. The crowd-implied probability sits at 0% for Anyone’s Legend winning, a stark contradiction to the 69.3% vote share favouring them on Strafe and their status as the clear market favourite on Polymarket due to the persistent regional gap between the LPL and LEC [1][2]. Historical precedents in international League of Legends tournaments consistently show LPL teams dominating LEC opposition in best-of-three formats, making the current 0% pricing a severe outlier that ignores AL’s stable core featuring Tarzan, Flandre, and Shanks alongside their strong domestic playoff form [1].

Traders should monitor the live game handicap market, specifically whether Anyone’s Legend can secure a 2-0 victory or if Karmine Corp can force a third game, as odds currently suggest a 2-0 scoreline at 1.57 [4]. The primary catalyst is the match execution itself, scheduled for 7:00AM ET, with no external roster announcements expected given AL’s recent 2-1 victory over Hanwha Life Esports to reach this stage [6]. Contrarian value likely sits with Anyone’s Legend, as the consensus has mispriced the regional advantage, while the 50-50 settlement clause for cancellations remains a distant risk given the tournament’s tight schedule and confirmed start time.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.