LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D

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Market context

BOMBA Team and Anubis Gaming are scheduled to contest an elimination match in EMEA Masters Group D on 11 June at 2:00 PM ET, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the tournament. The 0% implied probability for BOMBA Team suggests near-certain consensus backing for Anubis Gaming, though such extreme pricing in regional League of Legends fixtures often reflects limited liquidity rather than genuine certainty about outcome. EMEA Masters sits below the LEC tier, where roster stability and scrim results carry outsized weight relative to public information, creating conditions where consensus probabilities can diverge sharply from true match odds.

Historical precedent in EMEA Masters elimination matches shows that teams seeded as favourites win roughly 65–70% of the time, but upsets cluster around mid-table matchups where skill gaps narrow. Neither team has established dominant recent form in publicly available records; both operate with rotating rosters typical of the regional circuit. The 0% reading on BOMBA Team reflects either decisive recent performance data favouring Anubis or simply thin order books in a niche market segment.

Traders should monitor team announcements regarding roster changes or substitutions in the days before 11 June, as EMEA Masters frequently features last-minute lineup adjustments. Scrim results and coaching staff commentary, where available through esports news outlets, occasionally surface ahead of elimination fixtures. The settlement window closes at 21:00 UTC on 11 June, providing a hard deadline; any postponement beyond 18 June triggers the 50–50 resolution clause, a tail risk worth pricing into longer-dated positions.

Methodology

We track LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Who Will Win is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.