Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Who Will Win Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Who Will Win → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Who Will Win → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Who Will Win → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Who Will Win → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Who Will Win → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% G2 NORD | 0% Partizan Sangal |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Partizan Sangal (+1.5) | 100% G2 NORD | 0% Partizan Sangal |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
G2 NORD and Partizan Sangal are scheduled to face off in a best-of-three League of Legends match within EMEA Masters Group C on 10 June at 16:00 BST. The current market pricing reflects complete certainty in a G2 NORD victory, with the crowd-implied probability sitting at 100%, leaving no probabilistic room for a Partizan upset or match cancellation.
The 100% pricing warrants scrutiny against historical EMEA Masters outcomes. Regional tournaments at this tier have produced upsets when structural advantages favour underdogs—notably when teams field academy rosters or rotate players mid-tournament. G2's primary roster depth and infrastructure typically insulate their secondary squad from such vulnerabilities, yet Partizan Sangal's Balkan regional pedigree occasionally yields competitive performances in group stages. Past EMEA Masters tournaments show that even heavily favoured teams face 5–15% cancellation or delay risk due to scheduling conflicts, technical issues, or player unavailability, particularly when matches fall outside major broadcast windows.
Traders should monitor G2's roster confirmation and any official announcements from Riot regarding fixture scheduling in the week preceding 10 June. Partizan's recent scrim results and mid-lane matchup dynamics—typically a deciding factor in regional LoL—merit attention if leaked. The settlement window closes at 21:00 BST on match day, creating a hard deadline; any fixture postponement beyond seven days triggers a 50-50 resolution. Current pricing leaves no margin for execution risk, scheduling uncertainty, or competitive variance, suggesting the market may be overweighting G2's structural superiority relative to realistic tail risks.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Who Will Win is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters… on Who Will Win
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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