Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Who Will Win Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Who Will Win → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Who Will Win → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Who Will Win → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Who Will Win → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Who Will Win → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% Karmine Corp Blue | 0% Partizan Sangal |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Karmine Corp Blue face Partizan Sangal in a League of Legends best-of-one match during the EMEA Masters Swiss Stage, scheduled for 8 June at 16:00 BST. The current market pricing reflects absolute certainty in a Karmine Corp Blue victory, with the crowd implying 100% probability. This extreme confidence warrants scrutiny, particularly given the single-game format's inherent volatility and the limited historical precedent for such decisive pricing in regional competition.
Karmine Corp Blue operate as the French organisation's secondary roster, typically fielding academy-level talent or developmental players, whilst Partizan Sangal represent Serbia's competitive League infrastructure. Historical context from EMEA Masters tournaments shows that academy rosters from established Western organisations frequently dominate regional competition, yet single-elimination matches remain susceptible to upsets when roster composition, patch familiarity, or preparation gaps emerge. The 100% implied probability suggests the market has already priced in Karmine's organisational advantage without accounting for variance inherent to best-of-one formats.
Traders should monitor roster announcements and any last-minute substitutions closer to the 8 June fixture, as EMEA Masters often features experimental line-ups or player rotations that can shift competitive balance. Patch notes released before the match date may also create unexpected strategic advantages if either team has practised specific compositions more extensively. The settlement window closes at 21:00 BST on match day, allowing approximately five hours post-match for official confirmation. Given the extreme pricing, any indication of roster changes, technical issues, or scheduling delays could represent significant value opportunities for contrarian positions.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Partizan Sangal (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Who Will Win — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Who Will Win is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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