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LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 99% Game Handicap: LOS (-2.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+2.5) 91% Volume: $104K Liquidity: $284K Closes: 1 Oct 2026
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LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner99%
Game Handicap: LOS (-2.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+2.5)91%
Game 3 Winner90%
Game 4 Winner54%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+1.5)50%
Odd/Even Total Kills49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Odd/Even Total Kills25%
O/U 3.5 Games11%
O/U 4.5 Games5%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: los vs kabum! ilha das lendas (bo5) - cblol promotion playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between LOS and KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas in the CBLOL Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - CBLOL Pro… on Who Will Win

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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