Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
86% | 14% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
86% | 14% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 2 Winner | 86% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 83% |
| Match Winner | 77% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 51% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 51% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 51% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 51% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Game Handicap: MYTH (-1.5) vs Dynasty (+1.5) | 1% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
Market context
Myth Esports against Dynasty in the Road Of Legends regular season is priced at a **38%** implied chance on Myth, so the market has Dynasty as the clearer favourite and Myth as the underdog. That fits the broader head-to-head picture: the sides have met six times, with one source showing the series split **3-3** overall, while another recent match page says Myth had led the matchup **4-2** before April’s meeting, underlining that this has been a fairly competitive pairing rather than a one-sided spot[1][3][7].
For a handicapper, the main question is whether the crowd is leaning too hard on recent form. The July 2026 match page on BO3.gg flags Myth’s recent run as poor, citing a **22%** win rate over the last six months, while Dynasty is described as having improved to **45%** over the same span and even beating Myth **1-2** in their April meeting[5]. That supports the current market tilt towards Dynasty, but the pricing leaves room for a contrarian Myth position if the earlier head-to-head balance carries more weight than short-term form[1][5].
The key catalysts are straightforward: final line-ups, whether either side has a substitute or roster change, and confirmation the fixture starts on schedule, because a no-contest, tie, or delay beyond seven days would force a **50-50** settlement. The market description says the match was initially set for **23 July at 1:00 PM ET**, so traders should watch for any scheduling drift around that slot, as well as official tournament posts if the series is rescheduled or affected by admin decisions.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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