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Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo

Five-platform snapshot of "Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 1 Winner 100% Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $162K Liquidity: $191K Closes: 18 Aug 2026
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Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 1 Winner100%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo79%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Match O/U 21.575%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Match O/U 22.575%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Match O/U 23.575%
Completed Match50%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 2 Winner0%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

The Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Stefan Kozlov and Aidan Mayo in the Brownsburg, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Kozlov' if St…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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