Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midon Match O/U 21.5 | 75% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midon Match O/U 22.5 | 75% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midon Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 66% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midon Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midon Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midon Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midon Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midon Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midon Set 2 Winner | 37% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midon | 17% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 Winner | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to swedish open, qualification: igor ribeiro marcondes vs lautaro midon. This market refers to the tennis match between Igor Ribeiro Marcondes and Lautaro Midon in the Swedish Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resol…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Swedish Open, Qualification: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes … on Who Will Win
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