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Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov

Five-platform snapshot of "Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Completed Match 100% Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 3 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 3 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $343K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 3 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 3 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Set Handicap +/-2.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov0%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Total Sets: O/U 3.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Total Sets: O/U 4.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 3 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 36.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 38.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 40.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of wimbledon atp: dane sweeny vs grigor dimitrov. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Dane Sweeny and Grigor Dimitrov in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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