Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
27% | 73% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
27% | 73% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Vitality | 27% |
| Spirit | 25% |
| Falcons | 23% |
| FURIA | 13% |
| G2 | 7% |
| FUT | 6% |
| Aurora | 5% |
| MOUZ | 5% |
| The MongolZ | 5% |
| M80 | 5% |
| Astralis | 2% |
| GamerLegion | 1% |
| magic | 1% |
| FaZe | 1% |
| Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1% |
| Alliance | 1% |
| 3DMAX | 1% |
| EYEBALLERS | 1% |
| Wildcard | 1% |
| 100 Thieves | 1% |
| paiN | 0% |
| Liquid | 0% |
| HEROIC | 0% |
| Sharks | 0% |
| Nemesis | 0% |
| Gentle Mates | 0% |
| SINNERS | 0% |
| FOKUS | 0% |
| Nuclear TigeRES | 0% |
| HOTU | 0% |
| OG | 0% |
| Nemiga | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, blast bounty 2026 season 2: qualify to lan stands at 27% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve according to the 8 teams that make BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 LAN Finals, scheduled for July 30 to August 2, 2026 at BLAST Studio in Malta. If BLAST Bount…
Methodology
This page reviews BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Qualify to LAN across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Qualify to LAN on Who Will Win
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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