Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 98% |
| O/U 41.5 | 98% |
| O/U 47.5 | 95% |
| O/U 53.5 | 89% |
| O/U 55.5 | 86% |
| O/U 43.5 | 82% |
| O/U 45.5 | 81% |
| Kansas O/U 20.5 | 81% |
| Kansas O/U 23.5 | 81% |
| O/U 49.5 | 79% |
| O/U 57.5 | 79% |
| O/U 51.5 | 78% |
| Kansas State O/U 23.5 | 78% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 75% |
| Spread -0.5 | 74% |
| O/U 59.5 | 73% |
| O/U 61.5 | 64% |
| Spread -0.5 | 63% |
| Kansas vs. Kansas State | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 57% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| O/U 65.5 | 54% |
| Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 53% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 15.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| O/U 63.5 | 52% |
| Kansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Kansas O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Kansas O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Kansas O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Kansas vs. Kansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kansas vs. Kansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas vs. Kansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Kansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Kansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Kansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Kansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Kansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Kansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Kansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kansas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kansas Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kansas Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kansas Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kansas Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kansas Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kansas vs. Kansas State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas vs. Kansas State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas vs. Kansas State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Kansas O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| O/U 67.5 | 43% |
| Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| Spread -1.5 | 35% |
| O/U 69.5 | 34% |
| Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| Spread -8.5 | 31% |
| O/U 71.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| O/U 75.5 | 27% |
| Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| Spread -5.5 | 21% |
| O/U 73.5 | 21% |
| Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| Spread -14.5 | 11% |
| Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to kansas vs. kansas state. In the upcoming college football game between Kansas and Kansas State, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas" if Kansas win the game. This market will resolve to …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $202K.
Methodology
We track Kansas vs. Kansas State across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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