Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Who Will Win Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Who Will Win → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Who Will Win → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Who Will Win → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Who Will Win → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Who Will Win → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alpha Dominion Nation (-9.5) vs Alpha Gaming (+9.5) | 50% Alpha Dominion Nation | 50% Alpha Gaming |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alpha Gaming (-3.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+3.5) | 50% Alpha Gaming | 50% Alpha Dominion Nation |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alpha Gaming (-6.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+6.5) | 50% Alpha Gaming | 50% Alpha Dominion Nation |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alpha Dominion Nation (-3.5) vs Alpha Gaming (+3.5) | 50% Alpha Dominion Nation | 50% Alpha Gaming |
Market context
Market consensus: 50% chance of counter-strike: alpha dominion nation vs alpha gaming (bo3) - united21 group c. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between Alpha Dominion Nation and Alpha Gaming in the United21 Group C, initially scheduled for June 24 at 4:00AM ET. This m…
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Who Will Win is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win?
- Zero. Who Will Win routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: Alpha Dominion Nation vs Alpha Gamin… on Who Will Win
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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