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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group A

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group A" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Who Will Win.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% O/U 2.5 Games 88% Map 2 Winner 87% Volume: $253K Liquidity: $502K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
O/U 2.5 Games88%
Map 2 Winner87%
Match Winner69%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs K27 (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs K27 (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs K27 (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs K27 (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-9.5) vs K27 (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs K27 (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%

Market context

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group A — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Aurora Gaming and K27 in the StarLadder StarSeries Group A, initially scheduled for July 22 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Ga…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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