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Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $929K Closes: 6 Jun 2026
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Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Who Will Win Pick
polygram.ink
 0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Who Will Win →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Who Will Win →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Who Will Win →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Who Will Win →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Who Will Win →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win.

Active sub-markets

Match Winner0% paiN100% BIG
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100% Over0% Under
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)0% paiN100% BIG
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)100% BIG0% paiN
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50% Over100% Under
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-6.5) vs paiN (+6.5)0% BIG100% paiN

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 0% probability to counter-strike: pain vs big (bo1) - iem cologne major stage 2. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between paiN and BIG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 6 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Who Will Win is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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