Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Who Will Win Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Who Will Win → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Who Will Win → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Who Will Win → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Who Will Win → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Who Will Win → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Winner | 0% TYLOO | 100% Legacy |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-6.5) vs TYLOO (+6.5) | 0% Legacy | 100% TYLOO |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-9.5) vs TYLOO (+9.5) | 0% Legacy | 100% TYLOO |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
TYLOO and Legacy meet in Round 5 of the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 group stage on 9 June, with the winner advancing and the loser facing potential elimination depending on bracket structure. The 36% implied probability for TYLOO suggests the market views Legacy as the favoured side, though the gap remains relatively modest.
TYLOO's recent Major performances have been inconsistent, with the Chinese roster showing capability against top-tier opposition but struggling against mid-tier European teams in best-of-three formats. Legacy, conversely, has demonstrated steadier results in regional qualifiers and online tournaments throughout 2025, though they lack the international pedigree of established Major contenders. Historical precedent suggests Asian teams at Cologne Majors tend to underperform relative to their online rankings, partly due to latency considerations and unfamiliar server locations. The current 36% for TYLOO reflects this structural disadvantage rather than a dramatic skill gap.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute stand-in announcements, which remain possible given the tournament's compressed schedule. TYLOO's recent bootcamp results and scrim records against European opposition will provide concrete data closer to match day. Legacy's form heading into the tournament—particularly their performance in the preceding qualifier rounds—will signal whether they're peaking or coasting. Any schedule delays beyond the 7 June window would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, introducing additional uncertainty. The settlement window closes immediately after the scheduled match time, leaving minimal room for late-breaking developments to influence pricing.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Who Will Win — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Who Will Win is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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