Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
10% | 90% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
10% | 90% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Total Kills Over/Under 69.5 in Game 2? | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 73.5 in Game 2? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 72.5 in Game 2? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 71.5 in Game 2? | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 74.5 in Game 2? | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Market context
PARIVISION and Aurora are set to contest the DreamLeague Playoffs grand final in a best-of-five series on 24 May at 10:00 AM ET. The crowd has priced this matchup at an even split, implying neither team holds a decisive edge in the eyes of traders. Both squads have navigated the tournament bracket to reach this final stage, though their respective paths and recent form will determine which outfit enters the series as the sharper unit.
Historical precedent in DreamLeague grand finals suggests that seeding and momentum matter considerably. Teams arriving at the final after fewer gruelling matches often perform better in extended series, whilst those grinding through lower brackets face fatigue compounding across five games. PARIVISION and Aurora's exact bracket positions and map pools relative to one another will shape how the series unfolds. Previous DreamLeague finals have seen favourites stumble when facing unconventional drafting or when key players underperform on the main stage, so the 50–50 split reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a lack of information.
Traders should monitor team rosters for any last-minute roster changes or illness announcements in the days before the match, as Dota 2 grand finals have been postponed or forfeited due to player unavailability. The settlement window closes on 24 May at 20:10 UTC, allowing roughly ten hours for the series to conclude. Watch for official DreamLeague communications regarding any schedule shifts or technical issues that might delay proceedings beyond the seven-day buffer, which would trigger a 50–50 resolution.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Pla… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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