Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
PARIVISION met PlayTime in DreamLeague Season 29 Group B, a best-of-three Dota 2 series that finished 2-1 in PARIVISION’s favour. With the crowd pricing the match at 100% for PARIVISION, the market is effectively treating the favourite as a certainty and leaving no room for error. That is usually only justified when line-ups, form, and tournament context all point the same way; here, PARIVISION came in as the stronger side on rankings and group position, but the result itself shows PlayTime was not a dead-weight underdog. In handicap terms, the consensus was on PARIVISION, while any value would have sat on the only outcome priced out of the market: a PlayTime upset or at least map-taking resistance in a close series.
Recent tournament coverage framed PARIVISION as the Group B leader, with bo3.gg noting a 4-0 record before this fixture, while GosuGamers and other live-score pages listed PARIVISION around world rank 4 and PlayTime around rank 21. PARIVISION also had a strong historical benchmark in DreamLeague Season 26, where it won the event with a 31-4 record, which helps explain why the market leaned so hard in its direction. The main catalysts for any trader watching a similar spot are roster confirmations, stand-ins, and schedule movement, because Dota 2 markets can reprice quickly if a match is delayed, forfeited, or affected by late substitution. Here, the key practical watchpoint was whether the series actually started and finished inside the settlement window, since a no-contest or unresolved delay would have changed the resolution mechanics rather than the competitive read.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague G… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →