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Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - Exact Score

Live odds for "Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - Exact Score" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Aston Villa FC 5 - 0 Manchester City FC 50% Aston Villa FC 5 - 3 Manchester City FC 50% Aston Villa FC 5 - 5 Manchester City FC 49% Aston Villa FC 4 - 5 Manchester City FC 45% Volume: $140K Liquidity: $569K Closes: 24 Oct 2026
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Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Aston Villa FC 5 - 0 Manchester City FC50%
Aston Villa FC 5 - 3 Manchester City FC50%
Aston Villa FC 5 - 5 Manchester City FC49%
Aston Villa FC 4 - 5 Manchester City FC45%
Aston Villa FC 5 - 4 Manchester City FC45%
Any Other Score42%
Aston Villa FC 1 - 1 Manchester City FC19%
Aston Villa FC 1 - 2 Manchester City FC15%
Aston Villa FC 2 - 1 Manchester City FC12%
Aston Villa FC 1 - 0 Manchester City FC10%
Aston Villa FC 2 - 2 Manchester City FC9%
Aston Villa FC 2 - 0 Manchester City FC7%
Aston Villa FC 1 - 3 Manchester City FC7%
Aston Villa FC 2 - 3 Manchester City FC5%
Aston Villa FC 3 - 1 Manchester City FC3%
Aston Villa FC 3 - 0 Manchester City FC2%
Aston Villa FC 1 - 4 Manchester City FC2%
Aston Villa FC 3 - 2 Manchester City FC2%
Aston Villa FC 5 - 1 Manchester City FC2%
Aston Villa FC 2 - 4 Manchester City FC1%
Aston Villa FC 3 - 3 Manchester City FC1%
Aston Villa FC 5 - 2 Manchester City FC1%
Aston Villa FC 3 - 5 Manchester City FC1%
Aston Villa FC 4 - 4 Manchester City FC1%
Aston Villa FC 0 - 0 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 0 - 1 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 0 - 2 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 0 - 3 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 0 - 4 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 4 - 0 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 0 - 5 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 4 - 1 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 1 - 5 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 4 - 2 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 2 - 5 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 3 - 4 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 4 - 3 Manchester City FC0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 50% YES probability for Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - Exact Score. In the upcoming Premier League game between Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Aston Villa FC…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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