Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Who Will Win Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Who Will Win → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Who Will Win → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Who Will Win → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Who Will Win → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Who Will Win → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win.
Active sub-markets
| Colombia (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Costa Rica (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Colombia (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Costa Rica (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Colombia and Costa Rica meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 1 June at 7:00 PM ET. The crowd has priced this market at 100% YES, indicating near-certainty that additional markets will be offered on the fixture. This settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on the same day, giving traders roughly 16 hours post-kickoff to assess whether supplementary betting options materialise.
Friendlies between CONMEBOL and CONCACAF sides have historically attracted modest but consistent secondary-market activity. Colombia's recent competitive calendar—including Copa América and World Cup qualifiers—typically generates multi-market coverage from major sportsbooks, whilst Costa Rica's lower profile in continental tournaments often receives lighter treatment. The 100% implied probability suggests traders believe the Colombia–Costa Rica pairing carries sufficient profile to warrant expanded offerings, though this assumes standard sportsbook behaviour rather than any confirmed commitment. Historical precedent shows that friendlies involving South American nations rated in the top 50 FIFA rankings do spawn additional markets roughly 85–90% of the time.
The key variable is sportsbook inventory decisions in the 48 hours before kickoff. Fixture confirmation, team sheet announcements, and any late-breaking injury news could influence whether operators expand their market suite. Recent CONMEBOL friendlies have seen delayed market launches when squad changes occurred close to match day. Traders should monitor official federation communications and major bookmaker updates through 31 May; any withdrawal of Colombia's key players or fixture postponement would materially shift the probability downward.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $373K.
Methodology
This page reviews Colombia vs. Costa Rica - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Who Will Win — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win?
- Zero. Who Will Win routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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