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Brazil vs. Norway - Player Props

Live odds for "Brazil vs. Norway - Player Props" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Erling Haaland: 1+ shots 97% Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots 87% Erling Haaland: 2+ shots 85% Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots 80% Volume: $367K Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Brazil vs. Norway - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
97% 3% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
97% 3% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Erling Haaland: 1+ shots97%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots87%
Erling Haaland: 2+ shots85%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots80%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots77%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots73%
Erling Haaland: 3+ shots66%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots66%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots64%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots54%
Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots on target50%
Igor Thiago: 2+ shots on target50%
Igor Thiago: 3+ shots on target50%
Igor Thiago: 4+ shots on target50%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots on target50%
Alexander Sørloth: 4+ goals + assists50%
Antonio Nusa: 3+ goals + assists50%
Antonio Nusa: 4+ goals + assists50%
Erling Haaland: 3+ goals + assists50%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals + assists50%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ goals + assists50%
Raphinha: 2+ goals + assists50%
Raphinha: 3+ goals + assists50%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals + assists50%
Igor Thiago: 1+ shots on target47%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots on target47%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots on target47%
Ørjan Nyland: 2+ saves47%
Ørjan Nyland: 3+ saves47%
Raphinha: 1+ shots on target46%
Alisson: 2+ saves46%
Erling Haaland: 1+ shots on target45%
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals43%
Erling Haaland: 4+ shots43%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals40%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots on target40%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots38%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots37%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals + assists37%
Alisson: 4+ saves34%
Ørjan Nyland: 4+ saves34%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals + assists34%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots on target33%
Raphinha: 2+ shots on target33%
Alisson: 3+ saves33%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals + assists33%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals + assists33%
Igor Thiago: 1+ shots32%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots32%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots on target32%
Ørjan Nyland: 5+ saves32%
Erling Haaland: 2+ goals + assists32%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals31%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals + assists31%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots30%
Alisson: 5+ saves30%
Erling Haaland: 4+ goals + assists30%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ goals + assists30%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots28%
Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on target28%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots on target28%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots on target28%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals + assists28%
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots on target27%
Erling Haaland: 4+ shots on target27%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots on target27%
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assists27%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assists26%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots on target26%
Raphinha: 2+ shots24%
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals + assists24%
Raphinha: 1+ shots23%
Erling Haaland: 3+ shots on target22%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots20%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots on target20%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals + assists20%
Igor Thiago: 2+ shots19%
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots18%
Erling Haaland: 5+ shots18%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals + assists18%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals17%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots17%
Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots16%
Vinícius Júnior: 5+ shots15%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots on target14%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals13%
Matheus Cunha: 5+ shots13%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ assists13%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots on target13%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots on target13%
Erling Haaland: 2+ goals12%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ assists12%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals10%
Erling Haaland: 1+ assists10%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assists9%
Raphinha: 1+ goals8%
Igor Thiago: 3+ shots8%
Raphinha: 1+ goals + assists8%
Igor Thiago: 4+ shots7%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots on target7%
Raphinha: 4+ shots on target7%
Alexander Sørloth: 4+ shots6%
Alexander Sørloth: 5+ shots6%
Antonio Nusa: 4+ shots6%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals5%
Raphinha: 1+ assists5%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals4%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots4%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots4%
Raphinha: 3+ shots4%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals3%
Erling Haaland: 3+ goals3%
Igor Thiago: 5+ shots3%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ assists3%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ assists3%
Igor Thiago: 1+ goals2%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goals2%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals2%
Antonio Nusa: 5+ shots2%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 5+ shots2%
Raphinha: 4+ shots2%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ assists2%
Erling Haaland: 2+ assists2%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ assists2%
Raphinha: 2+ assists2%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots on target2%
Raphinha: 3+ shots on target2%
Raphinha: 4+ goals + assists2%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals1%
Igor Thiago: 2+ goals1%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goals1%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals1%
Raphinha: 2+ goals1%
Raphinha: 5+ shots1%
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals0%
Igor Thiago: 3+ goals0%
Raphinha: 3+ goals0%

Market context

Brazil vs. Norway - Player Props — current market-implied probability: 97%. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Norway, scheduled for July 5 at 4:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Brazil vs. Norway - Player Props across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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