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Spain vs. Belgium - Total Corners

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Spain vs. Belgium - Total Corners" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Total Corners: O/U 6.5 87% Total Corners: O/U 7.5 77% Spain Corners: O/U 4.5 73% Belgium Corners: O/U 2.5 71% Volume: $209K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Spain vs. Belgium - Total Corners

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
87% 13% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
87% 13% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Corners: O/U 6.587%
Total Corners: O/U 7.577%
Spain Corners: O/U 4.573%
Belgium Corners: O/U 2.571%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.568%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.566%
Total Corners: O/U 8.564%
Team to Take First Corner60%
Spain Corners: O/U 5.559%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.556%
Total Corners: O/U 9.552%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.551%
Total Corners: Odd or Even50%
Belgium Corners: O/U 3.548%
Spain Corners: O/U 6.543%
Total Corners: O/U 10.539%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.539%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.536%
Belgium Corners: O/U 4.531%
Total Corners: O/U 11.528%
Total Corners: O/U 12.519%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 87% YES probability for Spain vs. Belgium - Total Corners. Total corners markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Belgium, scheduled for July 10 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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