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Sweden vs. Tunisia - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Sweden vs. Tunisia - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

27% YES 73% NO Volume: $467K Liquidity: $3.3M Closes: 15 Jun 2026
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Sweden vs. Tunisia - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Who Will Win Pick
polygram.ink
 27% 73% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Who Will Win →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 27% 73% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Who Will Win →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Who Will Win →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Who Will Win →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Who Will Win →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win.

Active sub-markets

Sweden (-1.5)27% Sweden74% Tunisia
Tunisia (-1.5)7% Tunisia94% Sweden
Sweden (-2.5)11% Sweden90% Tunisia
Tunisia (-2.5)2% Tunisia98% Sweden
O/U 0.592% Over9% Under
O/U 1.571% Over30% Under

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, sweden vs. tunisia - more markets stands at 27% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 14 at 10:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Who Will Win is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win?
Zero. Who Will Win routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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