Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Who Will Win Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Who Will Win → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Who Will Win → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Who Will Win → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Who Will Win → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Who Will Win → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win.
Active sub-markets
| Chandler Blanchet | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Kensei Hirata | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Paul Peterson | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Davis Riley | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| John Vanderlaan | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Joel Dahmen | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
The Charles Schwab Challenge, held annually at Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas, is a PGA Tour event scheduled for May 2026. The tournament has drawn elite fields in recent years, with winners typically ranking amongst the world's top 50 players. The 0% implied probability on the listed player suggests either a very late market opening, minimal liquidity, or that the specific player in question has withdrawn or been ruled ineligible under tournament regulations.
Historically, Colonial has favoured ball-strikers with precise iron play and course management skills over pure distance. Winners from 2019 onwards—including Kevin Kisner, Daniel Berger, and Scottie Scheffler—demonstrated strong accuracy off the tee and in approach play. The current 0% reading is unusual for a major PGA Tour event with a settled field; it typically reflects either a technical market condition (no backing received) or confirmation that the listed player has been eliminated from contention per the market's rules.
Traders should monitor PGA Tour injury reports and official entry lists as the May 2026 window approaches. Colonial's field strength depends on competing events that week and the tour's scheduling calendar. Recent precedent suggests the market will activate only once confirmed participants are announced and the listed player's eligibility is established. The settlement window closes 31 May 2026, giving approximately five months for market conditions to shift from the current nil probability.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $240K.
Methodology
This page reviews PGA Tour: Charles Schwab Challenge Winner across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Who Will Win — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win?
- Zero. Who Will Win routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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