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PGA Tour: Genesis Scottish Open Winner

Comparison of odds and platforms for "PGA Tour: Genesis Scottish Open Winner" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Who Will Win.

Rory McIlroy 9% Tommy Fleetwood 4% Ludvig Aberg 3% Matt Fitzpatrick 3% Volume: $89K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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PGA Tour: Genesis Scottish Open Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 9% 91% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 9% 91% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Rory McIlroy9%
Tommy Fleetwood4%
Ludvig Aberg3%
Matt Fitzpatrick3%
Patrick Cantlay2%
Wyndham Clark2%
Alex Fitzpatrick2%
Chris Gotterup2%
Tyrrell Hatton2%
Viktor Hovland2%
Robert MacIntyre2%
Angel Ayora1%
Bud Cauley1%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra1%
Eric Cole1%
Pierceson Coody1%
Harris English1%
Ryan Fox1%
Ryan Gerard1%
Doug Ghim1%
Max Greyserman1%
Nicolai Hojgaard1%
Si Woo Kim1%
Tom Kim1%
Kurt Kitayama1%
Jake Knapp1%
Min Woo Lee1%
Hao-Tong Li1%
Shane Lowry1%
Alexander Noren1%
Zach Bauchou0%
Dan Bradbury0%
Daniel Brown0%
Brian Campbell0%
Laurie Canter0%
Ricky Castillo0%
Seungbin Choi0%
Corey Conners0%
Martin Couvra0%
Cam Davis0%
Alejandro Del Ray0%
Hendrik Du Plessis0%
Nicolas Echavarria0%
Nacho Elvira0%
Ewen Ferguson0%
Grant Forrest0%
Dylan Frittelli0%
Julien Guerrier0%
Jordan Gumberg0%
Harry Hall0%
Brian Harman0%
Pádraig Harrington0%
Angel Hidalgo0%
Joe Highsmith0%
Calum Hill0%
Daniel Hillier0%
Charley Hoffman0%
Rasmus Hojgaard0%
Billy Horschel0%
Rikuya Hoshino0%
Mark Hubbard0%
Sung-Jae Im0%
Scott Jamieson0%
Casey Jarvis0%
Ryggs Johnston0%
Kota Yuta Kaneko0%
Yuto Katsuragawa0%
Johnny Keefer0%
Baekjun Kim0%
Michael Kim0%
Chris Kirk0%
Brooks Koepka0%
Jacques Kruyswijk0%
Frederic Lacroix0%
Joakim Lagergren0%
Pablo Larrazábal0%
Thriston Lawrence0%
Junghwan Lee0%
Mikael Lindberg0%
Joost Luiten0%
Matteo Manassero0%
Richard Mansell0%
Matt McCarty0%
Tom McKibbin0%
Mac Meissner0%
Adrian Meronk0%
Guido Migliozzi0%
Francesco Molinari0%
Taylor Moore0%
Dylan Naidoo0%
Keita Nakajima0%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen0%
Niklas Norgaard Moller0%
Shaun Norris0%
Andrew Novak0%
Tae-Hoon Ok0%
Thorbjorn Olesen0%
Adrián Otaegui0%
John Parry0%
Matthieu Pavon0%
Player 00%
Player 10%
Player 20%
Player 30%
Player 40%
Player 50%
Player 60%
Player 70%
Player 80%
Player 90%
Player 100%
Player 110%
Player 120%
Player 130%
Player 140%
Player 150%
Player 160%
Player 170%
Player 180%
Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

Market consensus: 9% chance of pga tour: genesis scottish open winner. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Genesis Scotti…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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