PGA Tour: the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday Winner

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The 2026 Memorial Tournament presented by Workday will take place at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, typically in early June. The event ranks among the PGA Tour's most prestigious regular-season tournaments, historically attracting elite fields and producing winners of genuine calibre. The 0% implied probability across all listed players suggests either an exceptionally deep field of unlisted contenders or significant uncertainty about participant confirmations ahead of the June settlement window.

Historical context matters here. The Memorial has crowned major champions and tour stalwarts—Jack Nicklaus's event has rarely been won by obscure names, yet the tournament's prestige also means withdrawals and late entries reshape expectations regularly. When a major PGA Tour event shows 0% across all listed options, it typically reflects either incomplete field announcements or traders pricing in a genuine likelihood that an unlisted player (currently outside the listed cohort) will claim victory. Comparable 2024–2025 tour events saw similar probability distributions early in their windows, only to shift dramatically once final field rosters locked.

Traders should monitor official PGA Tour announcements regarding the 2026 field confirmation, scheduled roughly three weeks before tournament play. Injury updates on listed players matter considerably—any withdrawal from a favourite shifts probability mass toward "Other" immediately. Recent reporting from PGA Tour communications channels will clarify whether the listed player pool represents the full expected field or if major names remain unconfirmed. The settlement window's June 2026 endpoint leaves substantial time for field volatility, making early positioning speculative until formal commitments materialise.

Methodology

This page reviews PGA Tour: the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday Winner across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Who Will Win — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win?

Zero. Who Will Win routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.