Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
60% | 40% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
60% | 40% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 21.5 | 60% |
| Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 60% |
| Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 59% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 23.5 | 41% |
| Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 2 Winner | 28% |
| Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud Set 1 Winner | 23% |
| Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud | 18% |
Market context
Market consensus: 60% chance of swiss open: jaime faria vs casper ruud. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Casper Ruud in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jai…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud on Who Will Win
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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