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Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Completed Match 100% Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $130K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan Match O/U 21.5100%
Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan Set 1 Winner100%
Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan Match O/U 22.5100%
Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan Match O/U 23.5100%
Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan0%
Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan Set 2 Winner0%
Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to lexington: soon-woo kwon vs andre ilagan. This market refers to the tennis match between Soon-Woo Kwon and Andre Ilagan in the Lexington, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 6:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Soon-Woo Kwon' if So…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Related Topics

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