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Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli

Live odds for "Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Completed Match 100% Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli Set 2 Winner 100% Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli Match O/U 21.5 100% Volume: $257K Liquidity: $520K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli Set 2 Winner100%
Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli Match O/U 21.5100%
Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli Match O/U 22.5100%
Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli Match O/U 23.5100%
Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli0%
Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli Set 1 Winner0%
Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of cordenons: maxim mrva vs franco roncadelli. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Mrva and Franco Roncadelli in the Cordenons, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page reviews Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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