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Roland Garros ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Five-platform snapshot of "Roland Garros ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Stefanos Tsitsipas" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $117K Liquidity: $24K Closes: 31 May 2026
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Roland Garros ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Who Will Win Pick
polygram.ink
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Who Will Win →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Who Will Win →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Who Will Win →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Who Will Win →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Who Will Win →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win.

Active sub-markets

Market context

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandre Muller and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Muller' if Alexandre Muller advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Alexandre Muller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a

Methodology

This page reviews Roland Garros ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Stefanos Tsitsipas across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Who Will Win — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Who Will Win is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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