Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, croatia open, qualification: juan carlos prado vs nikolas sanchez izquierdo stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Carlos Prado and Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo in the Croatia Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 11:00AM…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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