Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 3 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp | 80% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 75% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 4 Winner | 56% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Match O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Match O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 49% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Match O/U 40.5 | 47% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 3% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, wimbledon atp: roman safiullin vs botic van de zandschulp stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Safiullin and Botic van de Zandschulp in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market wi…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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