Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Oregon vs. Oklahoma State | 95% |
| Spread -0.5 | 94% |
| Spread -1.5 | 93% |
| Spread -2.5 | 92% |
| Spread -3.5 | 90% |
| 1H Moneyline | 89% |
| Spread -4.5 | 88% |
| Spread -5.5 | 87% |
| O/U 39.5 | 87% |
| Spread -6.5 | 86% |
| Spread -7.5 | 82% |
| O/U 41.5 | 82% |
| Spread -9.5 | 80% |
| Spread -8.5 | 79% |
| O/U 43.5 | 79% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 79% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 8.5 | 77% |
| Spread -10.5 | 76% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 9.5 | 75% |
| O/U 45.5 | 74% |
| Spread -13.5 | 73% |
| Oregon O/U 32.5 | 71% |
| Oregon O/U 33.5 | 70% |
| Spread -14.5 | 69% |
| O/U 47.5 | 68% |
| Spread -15.5 | 67% |
| Spread -16.5 | 66% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 10.5 | 66% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 11.5 | 66% |
| Oregon O/U 34.5 | 65% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 12.5 | 65% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 65% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 64% |
| Spread -17.5 | 63% |
| O/U 49.5 | 63% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 63% |
| Spread: Oregon (-18.5) | 61% |
| Oregon O/U 35.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 60% |
| Spread -19.5 | 59% |
| Oregon O/U 36.5 | 59% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 13.5 | 59% |
| Spread -20.5 | 57% |
| O/U 51.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 57% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 57% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| Oregon O/U 37.5 | 56% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 20.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 55% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 55% |
| Spread -21.5 | 54% |
| Spread -22.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 53% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 18.5 | 53% |
| O/U 53.5 | 52% |
| Spread -23.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Simeon Price: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Oregon O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Jordon Davison: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dierre Hill Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamari Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jeremiah McClellan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dakorien Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dante Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Evan Stewart: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Hawkins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Wyatt Young: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Justin Bowick: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Barnes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Miles Coleman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Drew Mestemaker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Da'Jaun Riggs: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tre Page III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Gatlin Bair: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ayo Adeyi: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kendre Harrison: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Carson Kolb: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rodney Harris II: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Terrence Lewis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| Oregon O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Oregon O/U 38.5 | 49% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| O/U 54.5 | 49% |
| Oregon O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| Oregon O/U 40.5 | 48% |
| O/U 55.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 47% |
| Spread -24.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 16.5 | 45% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 2.5 | 45% |
| O/U 56.5 | 45% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 43% |
| Oregon O/U 41.5 | 43% |
| Spread -26.5 | 43% |
| Spread -25.5 | 43% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 43% |
| Oregon O/U 2.5 | 42% |
| O/U 57.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 42% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| O/U 58.5 | 40% |
| Spread -27.5 | 40% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 17.5 | 40% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| Oregon O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 18.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 36.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 38% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 38% |
| Spread -28.5 | 37% |
| O/U 59.5 | 36% |
| Oregon O/U 42.5 | 36% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 19.5 | 36% |
| O/U 60.5 | 35% |
| Oregon O/U 43.5 | 35% |
| Spread -29.5 | 35% |
| O/U 61.5 | 33% |
| Oregon O/U 44.5 | 33% |
| Spread -30.5 | 33% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 20.5 | 32% |
| Spread -31.5 | 30% |
| O/U 63.5 | 28% |
| Spread -32.5 | 28% |
| Oregon O/U 45.5 | 27% |
| Oregon O/U 46.5 | 26% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 21.5 | 26% |
| Spread -34.5 | 25% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 22.5 | 25% |
| O/U 65.5 | 24% |
| O/U 67.5 | 21% |
| Spread -38.5 | 19% |
| Spread -37.5 | 19% |
| O/U 69.5 | 17% |
| O/U 71.5 | 15% |
| Spread -40.5 | 15% |
| Spread -41.5 | 13% |
| O/U 73.5 | 11% |
| O/U 75.5 | 10% |
| Spread -44.5 | 9% |
| O/U 77.5 | 8% |
| O/U 79.5 | 7% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 95% YES probability for Oregon vs. Oklahoma State. In the upcoming college football game between Oregon and Oklahoma State, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game. This market will resolve…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $86K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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