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Oregon vs. Oklahoma State

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Oregon vs. Oklahoma State" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Oregon vs. Oklahoma State 95% Spread -0.5 94% Spread -1.5 93% Spread -2.5 92% Volume: $86K Liquidity: $712K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
Open live market →
Oregon vs. Oklahoma State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Oregon vs. Oklahoma State95%
Spread -0.594%
Spread -1.593%
Spread -2.592%
Spread -3.590%
1H Moneyline89%
Spread -4.588%
Spread -5.587%
O/U 39.587%
Spread -6.586%
Spread -7.582%
O/U 41.582%
Spread -9.580%
Spread -8.579%
O/U 43.579%
1Q Moneyline79%
Oklahoma State O/U 8.577%
Spread -10.576%
Oklahoma State O/U 9.575%
O/U 45.574%
Spread -13.573%
Oregon O/U 32.571%
Oregon O/U 33.570%
Spread -14.569%
O/U 47.568%
Spread -15.567%
Spread -16.566%
Oklahoma State O/U 10.566%
Oklahoma State O/U 11.566%
Oregon O/U 34.565%
Oklahoma State O/U 12.565%
2H Spread -6.565%
1H Spread -8.564%
Spread -17.563%
O/U 49.563%
1H Spread -9.563%
Spread: Oregon (-18.5)61%
Oregon O/U 35.561%
1H O/U 24.560%
Spread -19.559%
Oregon O/U 36.559%
Oklahoma State O/U 13.559%
Spread -20.557%
O/U 51.557%
1H Spread -10.557%
2H Spread -7.557%
1Q Spread -6.556%
Oregon O/U 37.556%
Oregon 1H O/U 20.556%
1H Spread -11.555%
1H Spread -12.555%
2H Spread -8.555%
1H O/U 27.555%
Spread -21.554%
Spread -22.553%
2H Spread -9.553%
Oregon 1H O/U 18.553%
O/U 53.552%
Spread -23.552%
1H Spread -13.551%
1Q Spread -4.551%
4Q Spread -5.551%
Oregon 1H O/U 19.551%
Oregon 1H O/U 23.551%
Oklahoma State 1H O/U 5.551%
Simeon Price: Anytime Touchdown51%
Oklahoma State 2H O/U 9.551%
2H O/U 24.551%
1Q O/U 13.551%
Oregon O/U 0.550%
Oregon O/U 1.550%
Oklahoma State O/U 3.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Jordon Davison: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dierre Hill Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jamari Johnson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jeremiah McClellan: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dakorien Moore: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dante Moore: Anytime Touchdown50%
Evan Stewart: Anytime Touchdown50%
1Q Spread -5.550%
1Q Spread -8.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
2Q Spread -8.550%
2Q Spread -9.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -6.550%
3Q Spread -8.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Spread -8.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Oregon 1H O/U 21.550%
Caleb Hawkins: Anytime Touchdown50%
Wyatt Young: Anytime Touchdown50%
Justin Bowick: Anytime Touchdown50%
Chris Barnes: Anytime Touchdown50%
Miles Coleman: Anytime Touchdown50%
Drew Mestemaker: Anytime Touchdown50%
Oklahoma State 1H O/U 9.550%
Oklahoma State 1H O/U 11.550%
Oregon 1H O/U 22.550%
Da'Jaun Riggs: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tre Page III: Anytime Touchdown50%
Gatlin Bair: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ayo Adeyi: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kendre Harrison: Anytime Touchdown50%
Carson Kolb: Anytime Touchdown50%
Rodney Harris II: Anytime Touchdown50%
Terrence Lewis: Anytime Touchdown50%
2Q Spread -4.550%
Oklahoma State 2H O/U 5.550%
Oklahoma State 2H O/U 7.550%
Oregon 2H O/U 15.550%
Oregon 2H O/U 17.550%
Oregon 2H O/U 19.550%
Oregon 2H O/U 16.550%
Oregon 2H O/U 18.550%
Oregon 2H O/U 20.550%
Oregon O/U 4.550%
Oklahoma State 2H O/U 4.550%
Oklahoma State 2H O/U 6.550%
Oklahoma State 2H O/U 8.550%
2H O/U 18.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
1Q Spread -9.550%
1Q Spread -2.550%
1Q O/U 7.550%
1Q O/U 10.550%
1Q O/U 16.550%
1Q O/U 19.550%
2Q Spread -2.550%
2Q O/U 10.550%
2Q O/U 13.550%
2Q O/U 16.550%
2Q O/U 19.550%
2Q O/U 22.550%
3Q Spread -9.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q O/U 6.550%
3Q O/U 9.550%
3Q O/U 12.550%
3Q O/U 15.550%
3Q O/U 18.550%
4Q Spread -9.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
4Q O/U 19.550%
Oklahoma State 1H O/U 6.550%
Oklahoma State 1H O/U 8.550%
Oklahoma State 1H O/U 10.550%
Oklahoma State O/U 14.550%
Oregon 2H O/U 14.550%
1Q Spread -7.549%
Oregon O/U 5.549%
Oregon O/U 38.549%
Oklahoma State O/U 1.549%
Oklahoma State O/U 15.549%
O/U 54.549%
Oregon O/U 39.548%
Oregon O/U 40.548%
O/U 55.547%
3Q Spread -7.547%
4Q Spread -6.547%
4Q Spread -3.547%
1H O/U 30.547%
Spread -24.546%
2H Spread -10.546%
2Q Spread -6.546%
1H Spread -14.545%
2Q Spread -7.545%
4Q Spread -7.545%
Oklahoma State O/U 16.545%
Oklahoma State O/U 2.545%
O/U 56.545%
Oklahoma State O/U 0.544%
Oklahoma State 1H O/U 7.544%
1H Spread -15.543%
2H Spread -11.543%
Oregon O/U 41.543%
Spread -26.543%
Spread -25.543%
2H O/U 27.543%
Oregon O/U 2.542%
O/U 57.542%
2H Spread -12.542%
1H O/U 33.542%
Oklahoma State O/U 1.540%
O/U 58.540%
Spread -27.540%
Oklahoma State O/U 17.540%
Oklahoma State O/U 2.539%
Oregon O/U 3.538%
Oklahoma State O/U 18.538%
1H O/U 36.538%
2H Spread -13.538%
2H O/U 30.538%
Spread -28.537%
O/U 59.536%
Oregon O/U 42.536%
Oklahoma State O/U 19.536%
O/U 60.535%
Oregon O/U 43.535%
Spread -29.535%
O/U 61.533%
Oregon O/U 44.533%
Spread -30.533%
Oklahoma State O/U 20.532%
Spread -31.530%
O/U 63.528%
Spread -32.528%
Oregon O/U 45.527%
Oregon O/U 46.526%
Oklahoma State O/U 21.526%
Spread -34.525%
Oklahoma State O/U 22.525%
O/U 65.524%
O/U 67.521%
Spread -38.519%
Spread -37.519%
O/U 69.517%
O/U 71.515%
Spread -40.515%
Spread -41.513%
O/U 73.511%
O/U 75.510%
Spread -44.59%
O/U 77.58%
O/U 79.57%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 95% YES probability for Oregon vs. Oklahoma State. In the upcoming college football game between Oregon and Oklahoma State, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game. This market will resolve…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Oregon vs. Oklahoma State at 95% for "Oregon vs. Oklahoma State".

Oregon vs. Oklahoma State 95% Other 5%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $86K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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