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CF Universidad de Chile vs. CD Palestino - Exact Score

Live odds for "CF Universidad de Chile vs. CD Palestino - Exact Score" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

CF Universidad de Chile 2 - 1 CD Palestino 100% CF Universidad de Chile 0 - 0 CD Palestino 0% CF Universidad de Chile 0 - 1 CD Palestino 0% CF Universidad de Chile 1 - 0 CD Palestino 0% Volume: $40K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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CF Universidad de Chile vs. CD Palestino - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
CF Universidad de Chile 2 - 1 CD Palestino100%
CF Universidad de Chile 0 - 0 CD Palestino0%
CF Universidad de Chile 0 - 1 CD Palestino0%
CF Universidad de Chile 1 - 0 CD Palestino0%
CF Universidad de Chile 0 - 2 CD Palestino0%
CF Universidad de Chile 1 - 1 CD Palestino0%
CF Universidad de Chile 2 - 0 CD Palestino0%
CF Universidad de Chile 0 - 3 CD Palestino0%
CF Universidad de Chile 1 - 2 CD Palestino0%
CF Universidad de Chile 3 - 0 CD Palestino0%
CF Universidad de Chile 1 - 3 CD Palestino0%
CF Universidad de Chile 2 - 2 CD Palestino0%
CF Universidad de Chile 3 - 1 CD Palestino0%
CF Universidad de Chile 2 - 3 CD Palestino0%
CF Universidad de Chile 3 - 2 CD Palestino0%
CF Universidad de Chile 3 - 3 CD Palestino0%
Any Other Score0%

Market context

CF Universidad de Chile and CD Palestino meet in a Chile Primera Division game, and the market’s crowd-implied **0% YES** says the consensus is effectively assigning no chance to the exact-score set on offer. In handicapper terms, that is a classic favourite-heavy pricing signal: the market is not really debating who is stronger, but whether the final line lands on one of the explicitly listed scores or falls into “Any Other Score”.

The historical frame is mixed enough to keep contrarian traders interested. Universidad de Chile has the better overall head-to-head record, with FootyStats putting the balance at 12 wins, 10 draws and 9 losses across 31 meetings, while Universidad de Chile’s own club notes cite 73 wins, 46 draws and 35 defeats in 154 Campeonato Nacional matches against Palestino, plus tight recent results such as 2-1, 3-2 and 1-0 wins, and a 0-0 in February 2026[10][5][17]. That pattern suggests a matchup that often stays within one goal, which tends to support favourite scores, but it also leaves room for a low-scoring or late-decided outcome that exact-score markets frequently underprice.

For traders, the key catalysts are the confirmed line-ups, late injury or rotation news, and any schedule congestion from Universidad de Chile’s wider 2026 calendar, as recent match logs show both sides have been active across league and cup fixtures this winter[11][17]. ESPN’s fixture listing also indicates the match was on the August 9 slate and later recorded as a 2-1 Universidad de Chile win, which underscores how quickly exact-score markets can flip from speculative to settled once the teamsheet and in-play tempo are known[17][9]. The main value debate is therefore not the winner, but whether consensus has anchored too heavily to a narrow home win rather than the broader “Any Other Score” bucket.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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