1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

1. FC Köln meet Real Sociedad in a club friendly, and the market’s **0% YES** price is effectively saying the listed exact score is not being given any weight at all. That is an extreme read for a pre-season match, where the favourite is usually only a modest one and exact-score books are normally fragmented across several low-frequency outcomes rather than collapsing to zero. In handicapper terms, Real Sociedad look the likelier side on paper, but the friendly setting keeps Köln’s upset and draw paths alive, which is why the real value, if any, is usually in the broader score distribution rather than a single fixed number. [4][6][16][17]

Comparable recent form points to a game with goals, but not one that should be treated like a tightly modelled league fixture. ESPN’s recent results show Köln finishing last season with several high-scoring matches, including a 5-1 loss to Bayern and a 3-1 loss to Heidenheim, while Real Sociedad’s closing La Liga run was more controlled but still included a 4-3 defeat to Valencia and a 2-2 draw with Betis. That mix supports a baseline expectation of a competitive, rotating pre-season contest where 1-1, 2-1, 1-2 or 2-2 are the sort of scores traders usually cluster around, making “Any Other Score” the natural favourite in an exact-score market. [4][10][17]

The key catalyst is team-news rather than long-term quality: friendly line-ups can change sharply if coaches rest senior players, hand minutes to younger squads, or manage return-to-play workloads. The market should also be read against the timing of the fixture itself, because club-friendlies coverage can shift quickly if the schedule changes, and live listings already show the game as in progress across score services, so confirmation of the final result and format matters for settlement. If Real Sociedad field a stronger XI, the away favourite case hardens; if Köln rotate less or use more first-choice attackers, the contrarian home-score angles improve. [1][2][5][11][12][15]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track 1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

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