Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
56% | 44% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
56% | 44% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 56% YES | 44% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 53% YES | 48% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 56% YES | 44% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) | 32% YES | 68% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
3DMAX face Liquid in a best-of-three lower-bracket quarter-final at the CS Asia Championships group stage, with the market pricing 3DMAX at 54% and Liquid at the slight underdog end of the board. That is a narrow favourite position rather than a firm read, which usually points to a live toss-up where map veto matters more than team-brand value. In comparable CS2 spots, that sort of mid-50s line tends to reflect a belief that one side has a small structural edge, but not enough to ignore upset risk; the value case is often with the team carrying cleaner recent form or a better veto into the series, while the contrarian angle is that the lower-profile side can still be the right side if the first map lands well.
For traders, the main catalysts are the confirmed start time, any schedule drift, and whether the match actually remains on the published lower-bracket path. The market description pegs the fixture as initially scheduled for 20 May at 11:00pm ET, with settlement by 21 May 09:00 UTC, so any delay, reshuffle, or administrative change close to the cutoff matters. Liquipedia’s 3DMAX match listing and GosuGamers’ CS Asia Championships page both point to the same tournament block, while Polymarket already has adjacent CS Asia markets active, which suggests the bracket is being tracked closely. In practice, the consensus sits with 3DMAX only marginally, but Liquid will attract contrarian support if lineups hold and the veto leans towards their stronger map pool.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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