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Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 83% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs GamerLegion (+3.5) 52% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 51% Volume: $462K Liquidity: $373K Closes: 19 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
83% 17% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
83% 17% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.583%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs GamerLegion (+3.5)52%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.551%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs GamerLegion (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-6.5) vs GamerLegion (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-9.5) vs GamerLegion (+9.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs GamerLegion (+3.5)46%
O/U 2.5 Games44%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)43%
Map 1 Winner37%
Map 2 Winner35%
Match Winner24%
Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)0%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 83% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between GamerLegion and MOUZ in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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