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Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5) 50% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $99K Liquidity: $299K Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Map 2 Winner44%
Match Winner42%
Map 1 Winner41%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)41%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)41%
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)32%

Market context

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage — current market-implied probability: 50%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between MIBR and 9z in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 5 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR w…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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