Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Who Will Win Pick polygram.ink |
26% | 74% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Who Will Win → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
26% | 74% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Who Will Win → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Who Will Win → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Who Will Win → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Who Will Win → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win.
Active sub-markets
| Croatia (-1.5) | 26% Croatia | 74% Slovenia |
| Slovenia (-1.5) | 1% Slovenia | 100% Croatia |
| Croatia (-2.5) | 4% Croatia | 96% Slovenia |
| Slovenia (-2.5) | 0% Slovenia | 100% Croatia |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 46% Over | 55% Under |
Market context
A FIFA International Friendly between Croatia and Slovenia is scheduled for 7 June 2026 at 2:45 PM ET. The market is pricing a "More Markets" outcome—additional betting options becoming available for this fixture—at 26% implied probability, suggesting the crowd expects standard market coverage rather than expanded offerings.
Historical precedent shows that friendlies involving Balkan neighbours attract modest but consistent media attention, particularly when both nations are preparing for competitive tournaments. Croatia, a World Cup finalist in 2022, typically draws fuller market depth than Slovenia, whose recent competitive calendar has been lighter. When friendlies involve established European sides, bookmakers often deploy extended markets (goal scorer, corner counts, card accumulations) within 48 hours of kickoff. The 26% probability implies traders see this as a lower-tier friendly unlikely to trigger the full suite of secondary markets that major tournaments or qualifying matches command.
The settlement window closes just before the scheduled 2:45 PM ET start, meaning market expansion decisions must occur in the preceding hours. UEFA fixture calendars and broadcaster commitments—particularly whether the match airs on major European platforms—typically determine market depth. Recent June international windows have seen variable market coverage depending on participating nations' tournament status. Traders should monitor official UEFA announcements and bookmaker positioning in the 48 hours prior; if either side confirms squad changes or injury withdrawals affecting competitive standing, market appetite for extended betting options could shift materially.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $229K.
Methodology
This page reviews Croatia vs. Slovenia - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Who Will Win — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Who Will Win is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win?
- Zero. Who Will Win routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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