Iraq vs. Venezuela - More Markets

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Active sub-markets

Market context

A FIFA International Friendly between Iraq and Venezuela is scheduled for 9 June at 9:00 PM ET. The market for additional betting options on this fixture currently shows 0% implied probability, suggesting traders expect no supplementary markets to materialise before settlement on 10 June at 01:00 UTC.

Historical precedent matters here. Friendly matches between lower-ranked nations—Iraq sits around 124th in the FIFA rankings, Venezuela around 133rd—typically attract minimal secondary market development. Major sportsbooks concentrate liquidity on standard win/draw/loss and total goals markets; prop markets and exotic outcomes rarely justify the operational overhead for fixtures involving non-elite sides. The 0% reading reflects this structural reality rather than certainty that no markets will open; it reflects the consensus view that bookmakers see insufficient demand to justify deployment.

Traders should monitor whether either federation announces squad changes or venue shifts in the days before kickoff. Fixture confirmations for friendlies at this level can shift or be cancelled with limited notice, particularly if either side faces injury crises or domestic league calendar pressures. Recent reporting from football news outlets has confirmed the match is proceeding as scheduled, but any late withdrawal or rescheduling would eliminate the underlying event entirely. The tight settlement window—just over 24 hours after kickoff—means any market expansion would need to occur and close rapidly, a constraint that further depresses the probability of additional offerings materialising.

Methodology

We track Iraq vs. Venezuela - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Who Will Win is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win?

Zero. Who Will Win routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.