Haiti vs. Scotland - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland are scheduled to meet in a FIFA World Cup qualifier on 13 June 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. The crowd-implied probability of "more markets" emerging for this fixture stands at 4% YES, suggesting traders view additional betting options as unlikely to materialise before the settlement window closes on 14 June at 01:00 UTC.

Historical precedent offers limited guidance here. World Cup qualifiers between smaller confederations—particularly CONCACAF versus UEFA matchups—rarely attract the secondary-market depth that generates proliferating derivative contracts. Scotland's recent competitive record (Euro 2020 participation, consistent World Cup qualification attempts) contrasts sharply with Haiti's sporadic qualification history, yet neither nation commands the liquidity that would typically trigger cascading market creation. When major sportsbooks do expand offerings for lower-profile fixtures, they tend to do so weeks before kickoff rather than in the final 24 hours.

The critical catalyst is sportsbook behaviour in the 48 hours preceding the match. Regulatory approvals, betting-slip demand from major operators, and whether either nation's federation announces squad changes or injury concerns could prompt additional markets. Recent FIFA World Cup coverage has seen modest expansion of niche markets (first-goal scorer, corner counts, card predictions) even for qualifying rounds, though this remains concentrated among tier-one betting platforms. Traders should monitor whether major UK and European operators announce new Haiti–Scotland options on 12–13 June; silence from these operators by midday 12 June would suggest the 4% probability reflects genuine market consensus rather than early-stage underpricing.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Who Will Win is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win?

Zero. Who Will Win routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.