Haiti vs. Scotland - Total Corners

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland meet in a World Cup qualifier on 13 June 2026, with the market pricing total corners at 24% implied probability for YES. This reflects a relatively low corner count threshold, suggesting the crowd expects a tight, defensive encounter or one decided by open play rather than set-piece pressure.

Historical precedent matters here. Haiti's recent competitive record shows limited corner generation—their qualifying matches typically produce 6–9 corners total, well below European standards. Scotland, conversely, has averaged 10–12 corners in World Cup qualifiers under recent management, though this varies sharply depending on opponent quality and tactical setup. When Caribbean sides face European opposition, corner totals often cluster between 8 and 13, with the European team driving the majority. The 24% probability suggests the market is pricing for a sub-threshold total, implying either a low-intensity match or one where Scotland dominates possession without forcing many set plays.

Traders should monitor team news and tactical announcements in the final week before kick-off. Scotland's squad depth and injury status will influence their pressing intensity; a weakened side might sit deeper and invite fewer corners. Haiti's preparation level and any late managerial changes could shift their defensive shape. Venue conditions—the match location and pitch dimensions—also affect corner frequency, though this remains unconfirmed as of current reporting. Recent form in other qualifiers will signal whether either side is trending toward more aggressive or conservative play.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Who Will Win is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win?

Zero. Who Will Win routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.