🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogLive odds →

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 76% O/U 3.5 Games 75% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 73% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 73% Volume: $145K Liquidity: $247K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
Open live market →
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?76%
O/U 3.5 Games75%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon73%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon73%
First Blood in Game 4?70%
First Blood in Game 2?70%
First Blood in Game 1?70%
First Blood in Game 3?69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon68%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Game 4 Winner51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?50%
Game 2 Winner46%
Game 3 Winner46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon45%
Game 1 Winner43%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)43%
Match Winner40%
O/U 4.5 Games37%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?26%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?25%
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)21%

Market context

Market consensus: 76% chance of lol: bilibili gaming vs hanwha life esports (bo5) - mid-season invitational playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Bilibili Gaming and Hanwha Life Esports in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 4…

Methodology

We track LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - … on Who Will Win

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →