Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: KRX.C (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
HANJIN BRION Challengers face Kiwoom DRX Challengers in a best-of-three fixture within the LCK Challengers League, scheduled for 25 May at 05:00 ET. The current market pricing at 0% YES reflects extreme confidence in a Kiwoom DRX victory, though this represents an implied probability rather than a settled outcome.
The LCK Challengers League serves as a secondary competitive tier beneath the main LCK, where roster composition and player development trajectories differ markedly from the primary division. Historical precedent suggests that Challengers matches involving established organisations' secondary squads—particularly those affiliated with LCK franchises like DRX—tend to attract heavy favouring from informed traders. Kiwoom DRX's affiliation with a top-tier organisation typically translates to superior infrastructure, coaching depth, and player calibre at the Challengers level. However, the 0% probability pricing leaves no margin for upset scenarios, roster surprises, or unexpected performance variance that occasionally materialises in lower-tier competitive play.
Traders monitoring this fixture should track any last-minute roster announcements or substitutions, which can shift competitive balance in Challengers matches more dramatically than in established LCK play. The settlement window closes at 15:40 UTC on 25 May, providing a compressed timeframe for match resolution. Any scheduling delays beyond seven days from the original date would trigger a no-contest resolution. Current pricing suggests the market has absorbed available information about team compositions and recent form, though the absolute certainty reflected in the odds warrants scrutiny given the inherent volatility of secondary-tier League of Legends competition.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challeng… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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